Checklists
Vulnerability Windows
Synthesis of recruitment research (Singer, Lalich), scam-victimization data (FTC, AARP), and stress physiology · 2026
The states and moments in which people are measurably more susceptible to influence — and which manipulators, recruiters, and scammers deliberately target. Persuasion Lab uses the list two ways: as a self-check for the reader, and as a hard rule in the AI tools (campaigns may not target these states).
- Life transitions. New city, new job, first year of college, bereavement, divorce, retirement, illness — the ordinary support network is thin and identity is in flux (classic cult-recruitment windows).
- Loneliness and social isolation. Romance scams and high-control groups offer belonging first and demands later.
- Grief. Psychic and medium scams, "inheritance" fraud, and predatory funeral or financial pitches cluster around loss.
- Financial distress. Predatory lending, job scams, "guaranteed" investment pitches, MLM recruitment.
- Acute stress, fear, or time pressure. Narrowed cognition and reliance on heuristics; the reason every scam manufactures urgency.
- Sleep deprivation, hunger, intoxication. Reduced executive control; retreat formats and marathon sessions exploit this (HALT: hungry, angry, lonely, tired).
- Cognitive impairment and age-related change. Elder financial exploitation; undue influence in estate matters.
- Youth and inexperience. Grooming, loot-box mechanics, engagement design aimed at minors.
- Identity threat. When a group identity feels under attack, people accept in-group claims with less scrutiny and out-group claims with more (identity-protective cognition).
Used forAudience Profiler and Campaign prompts refuse targeting of these states; the Manipulation Detector notes when a message appears aimed at one; the Neuro & Human Nature learning path.
- Lalich, J., & Tobias, M. (2006). Take Back Your Life: Recovering from Cults and Abusive Relationships. Bay Tree Publishing
Recruitment at life transitions.
- Federal Trade Commission (2024). Consumer Sentinel Network Data Book 2023. FTC · link
Fraud-loss patterns by age and contact method.
- Arnsten, A. F. T. (2009). Stress signalling pathways that impair prefrontal cortex structure and function. Nature Reviews Neuroscience, 10(6), 410-422 · link
Stress and the shift from deliberative to reflexive control.
Checklists
The Debunking Handbook 2020 — Core Rules
Stephan Lewandowsky, John Cook, Ullrich Ecker, and 19 co-authors · 2020
A consensus summary of what the evidence says about correcting misinformation. It replaced the 2011 edition's emphasis on the backfire effect (which later research found to be rare) with a practical structure for effective corrections.
- Prebunk when you can. Inoculation (forewarning + weakened dose + refutation) before exposure is more effective than debunking after.
- Debunk often and properly. Corrections generally work; the "backfire effect" is not a reason to stay silent.
- Fact. Lead with the true fact, stated plainly and memorably.
- Warn about the myth. Mention the myth once, clearly labeled as false — do not lead with it, do not repeat it in the headline.
- Explain the fallacy. Say how the myth misleads (which technique: cherry-picking, fake experts, impossible expectations, conspiracy, logical fallacy).
- Fact again. End with the truth, so it is the last thing remembered.
- Provide an alternative explanation. A correction that leaves a causal gap is weaker; fill the gap (continued influence effect).
Used forCounter-Campaign design, the Defense Playbook, and the ethical-rewrite feature in the Analyzer.
- Lewandowsky, S., Cook, J., Ecker, U. K. H., et al. (2020). The Debunking Handbook 2020. Databrary / Center for Climate Change Communication · link
The fact-myth-fallacy-fact structure and the reassessment of the backfire effect.
- Wood, T., & Porter, E. (2019). The Elusive Backfire Effect: Mass Attitudes' Steadfast Factual Adherence. Political Behavior, 41, 135-163 · link
Corrections generally move beliefs toward accuracy; backfire is rare.
Checklists
Rapoport's Rules (Steelmanning)
Anatol Rapoport, as formulated by Daniel Dennett · 2013
How to compose a successful critical commentary — and the fastest way to tell a good-faith argument from a bad-faith one: the good-faith arguer can pass step one.
- 1. Re-express. Restate your opponent's position so clearly, vividly, and fairly that they say "I wish I'd put it that way."
- 2. Agree. List every point of agreement, especially if they are not matters of general consensus.
- 3. Learn. Mention anything you have learned from your opponent.
- 4. Only then rebut. Now, and only now, say a word of criticism.
Used forDebate coach, steelman-before-refuting countermeasure, roleplay scoring for empathy and clarity.
- Dennett, D. C. (2013). Intuition Pumps and Other Tools for Thinking. W. W. Norton
The four rules as stated in chapter 3.
Checklists
Ten Commandments of Cross-Examination
Irving Younger · 1975
The classic discipline for controlling a hostile witness. Included both as legitimate craft and as a recognition guide: several commandments are also how skilled interrogators and manipulators control a conversation outside court.
- Be brief. Short cross; three points the jury will remember.
- Short questions, plain words. No compound questions; no jargon.
- Leading questions only. Every question is a statement the witness can only confirm.
- Never ask a question you do not know the answer to. Cross is for confirmation, not discovery.
- Listen to the answer. Do not read the next question while the witness is speaking.
- Do not quarrel with the witness. Argument invites the witness to explain.
- Do not let the witness repeat direct testimony. Repetition reinforces.
- Do not let the witness explain. No "why" questions.
- Avoid the one question too many. Stop when the point is made; save the conclusion for closing.
- Save the ultimate point for summation. The jury should draw the inference themselves.
Used forLegal Argument coach; one-fact-per-question countermeasure; the note in the interpersonal domain that "leading questions only, never let them explain" is also a manipulation signature when used in ordinary conversation.
- Younger, I. (1975). The Art of Cross-Examination. American Bar Association, Section of Litigation (monograph)
The ten commandments as commonly transmitted.
Checklists
What Legal Argument Is Not Allowed to Do
Federal Rules of Evidence; ABA Model Rules of Professional Conduct; common-law "golden rule" doctrine · 1975
The courtroom is the one persuasion arena with enforced rules against manipulation. Knowing them is useful far beyond court: they are a ready-made list of manipulative moves that judges have decided are unfair to a decision-maker.
- No golden-rule argument. Asking jurors to put themselves in a party's place ("how would you feel if it were your child?") is improper because it invites decision by identification rather than evidence.
- No vouching. A lawyer may not assert personal belief in a witness's credibility or a client's innocence or guilt (Model Rule 3.4(e)).
- No appeals to passion or prejudice. Evidence whose probative value is substantially outweighed by unfair prejudice is excludable (FRE 403); arguments built on prejudice invite mistrial.
- No facts not in evidence. Argument is limited to the record and reasonable inferences from it.
- No mischaracterizing the burden. The prosecution may not shift the burden to the defendant; "why didn't he prove he was elsewhere?" is improper.
- No comment on a defendant's silence. Griffin v. California (1965): the prosecution may not invite an inference of guilt from a defendant not testifying.
- Sympathy is not a basis for verdict. Standard jury instructions tell jurors to decide on the evidence and the law, not sympathy or prejudice.
Used forLegal Argument coach (self-audit of argument for improper moves), the legal domain entries, and juror-facing defenses.
Caveats- Rules vary by jurisdiction and change; this is educational orientation, not legal advice. Check the current rules and case law where you practice.
- US Federal Rules of Evidence (1975). Rule 403: Excluding Relevant Evidence for Prejudice, Confusion, Waste of Time, or Other Reasons. Federal Rules of Evidence
The unfair-prejudice balancing test.
- American Bar Association (1983). Model Rules of Professional Conduct, Rule 3.4(e). ABA
Prohibition on asserting personal knowledge or opinion on credibility, guilt, or the justness of a cause.
- Supreme Court of the United States (1965). Griffin v. California, 380 U.S. 609. US Reports
No adverse comment on a defendant's failure to testify.
Checklists
PEACE Model of Investigative Interviewing
UK Home Office and police services (England and Wales) · 1992
The ethical, information-gathering alternative to accusatorial interrogation. Adopted after wrongful-conviction scandals; meta-analytic evidence finds it elicits as many true confessions with far fewer false ones. Included as the reference model for "getting the truth without manipulation", applicable to journalism, HR investigations, and hard conversations.
- Preparation and planning. Know the facts, define objectives, plan the interview.
- Engage and explain. Rapport; explain the process and the person's rights.
- Account, clarification, challenge. Free recall first; open questions; probe; only then put inconsistencies to the person.
- Closure. Summarize, confirm, explain next steps.
- Evaluation. Assess the information and the interviewer's own performance.
Used forThe ethical counterpoint to the Reid technique in the legal domain; the Conversation Architect prompt; a defense (recognize when you are being interviewed accusatorially).
- Meissner, C. A., Redlich, A. D., Michael, S. W., Evans, J. R., Camilletti, C. R., Bhatt, S., & Brandon, S. (2014). Accusatorial and information-gathering interrogation methods and their effects on true and false confessions: a meta-analytic review. Journal of Experimental Criminology, 10, 459-486 · link
Information-gathering approaches reduce false confessions without reducing true ones.
- Kassin, S. M., et al. (2010). Police-Induced Confessions: Risk Factors and Recommendations. Law and Human Behavior, 34(1), 3-38 · link
Risk factors for false confession under accusatorial interrogation.
Checklists
Baloney Detection Kit
Carl Sagan · 1995
A working scientist's habits for skeptical thinking, written for the public. Persuasion Lab keeps it because it is the most widely known checklist and because its items map directly onto encyclopedia entries.
- Independent confirmation. Seek independent confirmation of the facts wherever possible.
- Substantive debate. Encourage debate by knowledgeable proponents of all points of view.
- Arguments from authority carry little weight. Authorities have made mistakes; there are no authorities, only experts.
- Spin more than one hypothesis. Then test each.
- Do not get overly attached to your hypothesis. Ask why you like it; compare fairly.
- Quantify. If it can be measured, measure it; vague claims are hard to test.
- Every link in the chain must work. Including the premise.
- Occam's razor. Prefer the hypothesis that explains the data with fewer assumptions.
- Falsifiability. Ask whether the hypothesis can, at least in principle, be shown wrong.
Used forDefense Playbook cross-reference; roleplay debrief prompts.
- Sagan, C. (1995). The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark. Random House
Chapter 12, "The Fine Art of Baloney Detection".
Checklists
HALT Self-Check
Recovery-community heuristic (Alcoholics Anonymous tradition); consistent with stress and sleep research · 1970
Before making a decision or responding to pressure, check whether you are Hungry, Angry, Lonely, or Tired. Each state reduces deliberative control and raises susceptibility; each is also a state manipulators try to create or exploit (marathon sales sessions, late-night calls, retreats with restricted sleep and food).
- Hungry. Low glucose and discomfort narrow attention; "let me eat first" is a legitimate delay.
- Angry. Anger increases certainty and risk-taking and is the emotion outrage bait targets.
- Lonely. Belonging offers land harder; the recruitment and romance-scam window.
- Tired. Sleep loss impairs judgment and increases suggestibility and false-memory formation.
Used forVulnerability windows; the Neuro & Human Nature learning path; detector advice when urgency is detected ("do not decide while flooded").
Caveats- HALT is a folk heuristic, not a validated instrument; the physiological claims behind each item are supported separately (see the neuro domain entries).
- Frenda, S. J., Berkowitz, S. R., Loftus, E. F., & Fenn, K. M. (2016). Sleep deprivation and false confessions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(8), 2047-2050 · link
Sleep-deprived participants were far more likely to sign a false confession.